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SAM and TAM are the same number

PrincipleIf your SAM equals your TAM, one of them is wrong.

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Market

$50B
TAM
$50B
SAM
$50B
SOM
1Dealbreaker
Dealbreaker
You haven't segmented

If TAM = SAM = SOM you're saying you can sell to every customer on earth day one. Nobody believes that.

Fix
Constrain SAM by geography + segment; constrain SOM by realistic penetration.